Week 7: Interpretation and Simulation

Schedule of the Week

Date
Time
Item
Place
Material
Mon, Mar 28 16:00–17:30 Office hours (Oliver) Zoom
Tue, Mar 29 13:30–14:30 Office hours (Thomas) Zoom
15:30–17:00 Office hours (Viktoriia) Zoom
23:59 Homework 3 due Github
Wed, Mar 30 8:30–10:00 Lecture A5,6 B244
10:00 Homework 4 is assigned Github
Thu, Mar 31 10:15–11:45 Lab (Oliver) Zoom
15:30–17:00 Lab (Viktoriia) Zoom

Study Notes

Please read closely King et al (2000). If you have read it before - read it again! This piece is definitely on the “Top 10” list of papers every MA student has to digest. Also take a look at the Hanmer & Kalkan paper to understand the difference between average-case and observed-value approaches. Which one do you prefer? Finally, to see an example how much substance you can convey through simulating quantities of interest, take a look at Abrajano et al.

Readings

King, Gary, Michael Tomz and Jason Wittenberg. 2000. “Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation”. American Journal of Political Science 44(2): 347–361. Required
Hanmer, Michael J., and Kerem Ozan Kalkan. 2013. “Behind the Curve: Clarifying the Best Approach to Calculating Predicted Probabilities and Marginal Effects from Limited Dependent Variable Models.” American Journal of Political Science 57(1): 263–277. Required
Abrajano, Marisa A., R. Michael Alvarez, and Jonathan Nagler. 2008. “The Hispanic Vote in the 2004 Presidential Election: Insecurity and Moral Concerns.” The Journal of Politics 70(2): 368-82. Required
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