Week 6: Models for Binary Dependent Variables & Model Fit

Schedule of the Week

Date
Time
Item
Place
Material
Mon, Mar 21 16:00–17:30 Office hours (Oliver) Zoom
Tue, Mar 22 13:30–14:30 Office hours (Thomas) Zoom
15:30–17:00 Office hours (Viktoriia) Zoom
Wed, Mar 23 8:30–10:00 Lecture A5,6 B244
Thu, Mar 24 10:15–11:45 Lab (Oliver) A5,6 B317
15:30–17:00 Lab (Viktoriia) Zoom

Study Notes

We will take a closer look at models for dichotomous dependent variables. Please take a close look at Chapter 5.1-5.3 of King (1989) and Chapter 3 in Long (1997). Also skim the Esarey/Pierce (2012) as well as the “separation plot” paper of Greenhill et al. (2011) for new strategies of how you could evaluate your model in terms of model fit. For an applied example of logistic regression models, have a look at the recent paper by Giger et al. (2020). They also present nice quantities of interest which we will cover next week. Finally, former students of our AQM class now contribute to this literature themselves! Take a look at Marcel and Sebastian’s work on cross-validation to assess model fit.

Readings

King, Gary. 1989. Unifying Political Methodology. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. Chapter 5.1 - 5.3. Required
Long, J. Scott. 1997. Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. Chapter 3. Required
Esarey, Justin, and Andrew Pierce. 2012. “Assessing Fit Quality and Testing for Misspecification in Binary-Dependent Variable Models.” Political Analysis 20(4): 480–500. Required
Greenhill, Brian, Michael D. Ward, and Audrey Sacks. 2011 “The Separation Plot: A New Visual Method for Evaluating the Fit of Binary Models.” American Journal of Political Science 55(4): 991–1002. Required
Giger, Nathalie, Simon Lanz and Catherine de Vries. 2020. “The motivational basis of constituency work: how intrinsic and extrinsic motivations interact”. Political Science Research and Methods 8(3): 493–508.
Neunhoeffer, Marcel, and Sternberg, Sebastian. 2019. “How Cross-Validation Can Go Wrong and What to Do About It”. Political Analysis 27(1): 101–106.
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